From: aidotengineer
AI research has undergone significant scaling paradigms in recent years, unlocking new frontiers in product development and fostering new forms of human-AI collaboration [00:41:00]. The progression of AI agents from mere collaborators to co-innovators represents a transformative shift in how humans interact with and leverage artificial intelligence [01:05:00].
Evolution of AI Capabilities
The foundation of modern AI capabilities lies in two primary scaling paradigms [01:28:00]:
- Next Token Prediction (Pre-training): This paradigm involves models learning about the world by predicting the next word, string, pixel, or any token in a sequence [01:46:00]. It functions as a “world-building machine,” enabling the model to understand the physics of the world and perform massive multitask learning [01:48:00]. While some tasks like translation are easy, complex tasks such as math, problem-solving, and especially creative writing require significant compute due to the high risk of coherence deterioration [03:11:00]. The era of 2020-2021 saw extensive scaling in pre-training [05:22:00].
- Reinforcement Learning (Post-training): This phase, often leveraging Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) or Reinforcement Learning from AI Feedback (RLAF), refines the model’s usefulness [06:06:00]. Products like GitHub Copilot exemplify this, teaching models to complete function bodies, generate multi-line completions, and predict diffs [06:23:00].
- Scaling Reinforcement Learning on Chain of Thought: A more recent paradigm involves scaling RL on Chain of Thought, where models learn to “think” during training and receive good feedback signals in RL [07:05:00]. This allows models to reason through complex problems by creating detailed internal thought processes, enabling them to tackle harder tasks like medical problems or complex codebases [07:45:00].
From Collaborators to Co-innovators
The current stage of AI, particularly models trained with Chain of Thought and real-world tools (browsing, search, computer use) over long horizons, marks the era of “agents” [10:01:00]. The next evolutionary stage envisions AI as “co-innovators” [10:27:00].
Co-innovators
Co-innovators are agents built upon advanced reasoning, tool use, and long context, plus creativity enabled through human-AI collaboration [10:33:00]. This is expected to create new affordances for humans to collaborate better with AI, enabling them to co-create the future [10:52:00].
New Interaction Paradigms and Design Challenges
The increased capabilities of AI agents introduce new interaction paradigms and design challenges [09:02:00]:
- Streaming Model Thoughts: To avoid long waiting times, one simple approach is to stream the model’s thoughts to the user, providing summaries of its reasoning [09:31:00].
- Familiar Form Factors for Unfamiliar Capabilities: Presenting powerful new capabilities, like 100K context windows, through familiar interfaces such as file uploads, makes them more accessible [13:39:00].
- Modular Compositions: Product features should enable modular compositions that can scale with future, higher-capability models [15:21:00].
- Bridging Real-time and Asynchronous Tasks: A significant challenge is bridging real-time AI interaction with asynchronous task completion (e.g., models researching for hours) [15:42:00]. The key bottleneck is trust, which can be addressed by giving humans new collaborative affordances to verify and edit model outputs, and provide real-time feedback for self-improvement [16:00:00].
Vignettes from Product Development
- GitHub Copilot: An early product demonstrating the power of pre-trained models for code completion, refined with RLHF/RLAF for usability [05:38:00]. This highlights integrating AI into natural workflows for developers.
- Anthropic’s Claude in Slack: An early attempt at a virtual teammate in an organization, leveraging Slack’s tools and multiplayer collaboration features [16:21:00]. This concept informed later products like ChatGPT tasks [16:53:00].
- ChatGPT Tasks: Extends familiar concepts like reminders and to-do lists with new AI capabilities, allowing models to continue stories, perform daily searches, or help learn languages with multimodal and interactive visualizations [14:41:00].
- OpenAI’s Canvas: An extremely flexible interface designed to scale human collaborative affordances and foster new creative capabilities [17:14:00]. Canvas can act as a co-creator, co-editor, and even a pair programmer [17:40:00]. It supports fine-grain editing, search for report generation, and multi-agent collaboration (e.g., a model critic or editor) [18:03:00].
The Future of Human Interaction with AI
The integration of highly reasoning models allows for a rapid evaluation cycle in product development [11:22:00]. These models can distill knowledge to smaller models, synthetically generate new data for post-training, and create new reinforcement learning environments [11:33:00].
Key areas for the future of AI in improving user experience and integrations include:
- Creating New Task Classes: Simulating different users or generating synthetic datasets to create new product experiences [11:57:00].
- Complex RL Environments: Allowing models to use collaborative tools like canvas, search, or browsing within RL environments to learn better collaboration [12:39:00].
- In-context Learning: Models are extremely good at learning new tools from few-shot examples, accelerating development cycles [13:00:00].
- Personalized Tutors: Models can adapt to individual learning styles (e.g., visual or auditory) [18:16:00].
- Generative Entertainment: Enabling non-technical individuals to create games or tools on the fly [18:47:00].
- Invisible Software Creation: The future suggests an invisible layer of software creation where people can create their own tools directly from mobile devices without coding [21:32:00].
- AI as Research Partner: Models can assist in research by reproducing papers, leveraging internal knowledge to form new hypotheses, and delegating tasks to AI assistants [20:12:00].
- Dynamic Interface: The AI interface will be a “blank canvas” that self-morphs based on user intent, becoming an IDE for coders or a writing assistant with tools for brainstorming and visualization for writers [22:42:00].
Ultimately, co-innovation will occur through creative co-direction with highly reasoning agentic systems, leading to the creation of new novels, films, games, science, and knowledge [23:31:00].